THE KENTUCKY DERBY

With the one hundred and thirty fifth Kentucky Derby this coming this Saturdays,race fans and sports betting fans everywhere will be tuned in on the action!So if were going to bet on this race lets look at key factors in making that decision.First and foremost should be how well these competitors have fared against each other in .

Since late December, the leading California-based 3-year-olds ran against each other on several occasions at Santa Anita and Hollywood Park. Pioneerof the Nile won each of these encounters, and the horses he defeated have since shipped out of town and run well or won major Derby preps in Arkansas, Louisiana and New York, further boosting the credence and quality of those California races.

Papa Clem finished second to Friesan Fire in the Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds, then went on to beat the early Kentucky Derby favorite, Old Fashioned, in the Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park.

I Want Revenge twice fought out close finishes with Pioneerof the Nile in California, then shipped to New York to demolish the 3-year-olds in Aqueduct's Gotham and Wood Memorial.

With so many collateral form lines to take into account, it seems a logical assumption that Friesan Fire and Pioneerof the Nile are the two best horses in this year's Kentucky Derby.

For wagering value, Friesan Fire (5-1) and Pioneerof the Nile (4-1) will go off at decent odds. It might be wise to bet both to win and place, although the latter is preferred to get the win.

The exacta has been forecast already, so for trifecta and superfecta players, key the above two with Papa Clem, I Want Revenge and Dunkirk.

Finley has been handicapping the Triple Crown races for more than 25 years

Computer analysis

Liam Durbin, owner and handicapper at E-ponies.com, has correctly picked the Derby winner the last three years in a row. Speed score is based on early speed and total speed. Class score evaluates the quality of competition the horse has faced and how he performed in those races. Form measures consistency. Last is a composite of the first three, but only considers the last 50 days. The computer picked Pioneerof the Nile to win by a slight margin over I Want Revenge. Last three categories show changes in jockeys, equipment and weight.

16	Pioneerof the Nile	Gomez	Baffert	4-1	34.6	40.7	20.0	3.0	0.0	4.6	103.0	N	N
13	I Want Revenge	Talamo	Mullins	3-1	39.1	26.1	18.9	4.3	0.0	6.2	94.4	N	N
7	Papa Clem	Bejarano	Stute	20-1	42.1	30.8	15.7	4.2	0.0	0.9	93.7	N	N
10	Regal Ransom	Garcia	Suroor	30-1	8.4	55.6	16.9	8.6	0.9	0.6	91.0	Y	N
2	Musket Man	Coa	Ryan	20-1	38.8	20.4	26.2	3.3	0.0	0.9	89.7	N	N
6	Friesan Fire	Saez	Jones	5-1	40.5	19.0	20.7	3.9	1.4	3.7	89.2	N	N
15	Dunkirk	Prado	Pletcher	4-1	36.3	16.2	24.5	2.9	2.4	4.6	87.0	Y	N
5	Hold Me Back	Desormeaux	Mott	15-1	33.5	24.9	20.3	3.7	2.5	1.2	86.2	N	N
9	Join In The Dance	DeCarlo	Pletcher	50-1	56.3	10.4	11.4	2.3	2.4	0.4	83.2	Y	N
1	West Side Bernie	Elliott	Breen	30-1	34.9	28.7	13.4	2.6	0.0	0.6	80.2	N	N
12	General Quarters	Leparoux	McCarthy	20-1	34.4	19.9	12.9	3.4	1.1	0.9	72.6	Y	N
8	Mine that Bird	Borel	Woolley	50-1	33.5	21.0	13.9	2.6	1.0	0.4	72.3	Y	N
11	Chocolate Candy	Smith	Hollendorfer	20-1	33.4	17.0	17.6	2.8	0.0	0.9	71.7	Y	N
19	Desert Party	Dominguez	Suroor	15-1	7.9	34.9	21.2	4.3	0.0	1.2	69.6	Y	N
4	Advice	Douglas	Pletcher	30-1	31.8	17.4	13.1	2.7	2.4	0.6	68.1	Y	N
17	Summer Bird	Rosier	Ice	50-1	31.8	17.5	14.0	2.5	0.0	0.4	66.2	N	N
14	Atomic Rain	Bravo	Breen	50-1	41.6	8.5	11.1	2.5	0.0	0.4	64.0	N	N
20	Flying Private	Albarado	Lukas	50-1	37.0	11.7	9.0	2.7	2.3	0.4	63.1	Y	N
3	Mr. Hot Stuff	Velazquez	Harty	30-1	30.8	8.9	11.8	2.4	1.8	0.6	56.3	Y	N
So in looking at these findings i,ll make my predictions. To win:PIONEER OF THE NILE Win,Place and Show:PIONEER OF THE NILE,FRIESAN FIRE,I WANT REVENGE. My longshot pick is:CHOCHOLATE CANDY at 20-1 What will i be doing to celebrate this weekend?On Sunday i,ll be joing the rest of the FELTFANATICS in a $5,000.00 private freeroll at SPORTSBOOK POKER,this is a great way for any player to increase their bankroll!Hope to see you there FANATICS,and good luck on the felts.To enter the $5000.00 freeroll just follow this link and create an account.